Systemate Forward Log

How to read this log

Every row below is a firing — a pre-registered anomaly threshold being crossed. Classification at the deadline assigns one of five categories, evaluated mechanically in priority order:

CONFIRMED_STRESS (Category A)

Reference instrument moved ≥2.5σ within the 10-trading-day window. This is the stress-criterion confirmation — the only category that confirms the firing correctly identified a pre-registered stress move.

SUSTAINED_REGIME (Category B) — VOL_SHIFT (Category C)

Regime anomaly detected but not at the stress threshold. B means the cumulative forward move ranked in the top or bottom 15% of the three-year history. C means realized volatility shifted ≥1.5× prior. These categories document anomalous behavior — they are not evidence of stress in the pre-registered sense.

NORMALIZED (Category D) — EXCLUDED (Category E)

D: firing fell within the pre-registered normal envelope. E: evidence was insufficient (data missing or window truncated).

This page shows outcomes, not trading signals. It contains no portfolio recommendations, no position sizing, no entry or exit advice. Past firings do not predict future firings.